A rate cut at the Federal Reserve's upcoming September meeting appears increasingly likely as the job market softens and inflation returns toward the Fed's 2% target. The unemployment rate has climbed to 4.3%, up from a historic low of 3.5% just a year ago, heightening concerns about a potential recession. In response, economists are now forecasting that the Fed might reduce interest rates at all three of its remaining meetings this year, with cuts ranging from a quarter to half a percentage point.
A rate cut could have a significant impact on the stock market. Lower interest rates typically make borrowing cheaper, which can stimulate economic activity and boost corporate profits. This, in turn, often leads to higher stock prices as investors anticipate stronger earnings and seek higher returns in equities over lower-yielding bonds. However, the potential for rate cuts also signals concerns about economic weakness, which could create volatility as the market reacts to both the positive and negative implications of such a move.